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Economics Newsletter
Winter 2008

Economics Department Faculty 2008
Top row left to right: Prof. Song, Prof. Yaisawarng, Prof.
Motahar, Prof. McCarty, Prof. O'Keeffe, Prof. Sener, Prof.
Fried, Prof. Klein, Prof. Shelton Schmidt.
Bottom row left to right: Department Chair Prof. Stephen
Schmidt, Prof. Dvorak, Prof. Lewis, Prof. Foster and Prof.
Lewis.
Back Issues
Letter
from the Department Chair
Chair's Corner
Are you wondering what classes you
should take in spring term? Why, economics
classes of course! But, you ask,
which ones? Well, that depends...
Frosh: If
you have not taken Economics 101, take that, since
it is the first class
for the major and a prerequisite for
(almost) all other economics classes. If you have
taken Eco 101, then consider the
200-level electives (course numbers between
201 and 240). For economics majors,
they are only open to frosh and sophomores,
so if they look good (and they do)
get them while you can. Also, if you intend to
take the economics core courses next
year (most majors do) then you should
make sure you have taken calculus,
since you'll need it in micro and macro.
Sophomores:
Your main goal in sophomore year should be to finish
up the core
of the major (Economics 241, 242,
243) or at least get within one course of doing
so. (If you will be on term abroad
junior year, finishing up this year is particularly
desirable.) If you have not taken all
those courses yet, take at least one of them
this term. Also, this is your last
chance to take those 200-level electives, so if
you see one you like, grab it.
Juniors: Next
year comes senior thesis; are you ready? The best way to
get
ready is to take one or more 300-level
elective courses (or Eco 445) because
they apply the material you learned in
the core, and expose you to a range of
possible topics for senior theses.
Seniors: If you
haven't finished the major, then take whatever you need
to
finish it - it's now or never. Ditto for
GenEd requirements. If you've got all
that stuff out of the way, then let's
see... it'll be spring... basket weaving...
something like that. We'll see you at
graduation in June!
Steve Schmidt, Chair
Reminder
to Junior Economics Majors
During Spring term, there will be a
meeting for all students intending to write a
senior thesis involving economics.
All economics majors (including quantitative
track), managerial economics majors,
and ID or double majors with economics
as one component should attend. We'll
give you a chance to request advisors
and explain what you should do to be
ready to start your thesis in fall. We'll
go over requirements for honors in
economics, and talk about what is expected
of ID and double majors. Look for
announcements with the exact time and date
of the meeting sometime in April.
Make plans to be there!
Steve Schmidt, Chair
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Math prerequisites for
Eco 241 and 242
The calculus prerequisite for ECO 241
and 242 may be satisfied by Math 110, 101, 113, or an AP
calculus score of 3 or higher on either the AB or the BC exam.
Math 101 and 113 may be taken concurrently with Eco 241 or 242.
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Tutoring for Eco-101 students

Winter
2008 Schedule
TUESDAYS
and
WEDNESDAYS
7:00—9:00 PM
(From
1/22/2008—3/12/2008)
Location: Beuth House Work Room
Reminder: Don't forget to bring your textbook.
Individual tutoring is also available—please see your instructor
for more information.
BACK TO TOP
Ok, so the Giants won the Super Bowl.
Watching sports can be quite exciting, especially when two
really good teams with impeccable credentials put on a
compelling performance. Wait a minute! This reminds me of
something. There are great debates in economics in which
teams of very talented economists battle important issues. A
recent example includes
Jeffrey Sachs, who believes international aid can end
poverty, fighting it out with
William Easterly, who believes aid has no effect.
Actually, these battles are even more exciting to watch
because unless you put a lot of money in your Super Bowl
pool, the stakes are much, much higher. In this issue of
“What is on your professor’s nightstand?” I would like to
introduce you to another set of two books with very
different views on an important issue: data.
“Supercrunchers”
by Ian Ayers believes that data is great. “Black
Swan” by Nassim Taleb believes that the world is
dominated by rare events - Black Swans - which never appear
in our data and are therefore unpredictable.
“Supercrunchers” is about how data analyses can improve
business performance, predict supreme court rulings, movie
box office sales, etc. The range of applications is quite
breathtaking and inspiring. “Black Swan” argues that we can
use data in only a limited number of circumstances such as
predicting the height or weight of an individual. Such
things are driven by certain natural laws that can be
handled by econometrics. However, things that matter to
economists, such as wealth, income, stock returns or book
sales are driven by Black Swans. Bill Gates is a Black Swan.
Google is a Black Swan. No one could have ever predicted
Bill Gates’ wealth or Google’s share in the internet ad
market.
Both books have their shortcomings. I found some claims in
“Supercruchers” hard to believe, e.g. that a small list of
movie characteristics can accurately predict the box office
sales. Taleb’s “Black Swan” often dismisses counter
arguments too quickly. However, both of these books are well
worth reading. It does not even matter who you are rooting
for – sports, err economics, it is just really fun to watch.
vs.
Tomas Dvorak
Volunteer Income Tax Assistance (VITA):
Union's VITA site
breaks the Million Dollar Mark in Total Refunds
Economics majors in our service-learning class, Eco
391: Income Tax Policy & Practice, are again running a
free Volunteer Income Tax Assistance (VITA) site at
Union's Kenney Community Center, with support from the
IRS and other partners, including the Schenectady County
Department of Social Services, Greater Captial District
United Way, and the state Office of Temporary and
Disability Assistance(OTDA).
Students are gaining a deeper understanding of public
finance concepts such as horizontal and vertical equity,
economic efficiency and deadweight loss, Pigovian taxes
and subsidies, statutory vs. effective incidence as they
work through the tax situations of their clients and
then read and present related articles in public finance
literature in class discussions.
This year, we have eight IRS-certified student preparers
working with clients and running our VITA site as well
as reading and reflecting on the larger public finance
policy issues: Ashley Braniecki, Fengguan Chen, Allison
Dantus, Sarah Ehle, Thomas Haynes, Steve Walker,
Christopher Walkley, and Alexander Zani.
The students spent time studying during winter break
and took the IRS Basic Certification Exam on the first
day of class. All have now passed the Intermediate
Level certification with scores at or close to 100%.
Union's VITA site was one of the first in the county to
open for business during the 2008 filing season, opening
on Thursday January 24.
After two weeks of operation, our site has already
prepared 95 tax returns totalling a quarter million
dollars in Federal and New York State refunds for the
clients, saving them tens of thousands of dollars in
preparer fees. This brings the cumulative total
refunds since the site opened in January 2005 to over a
million dollars in Federal and New York State refunds.
This year's students are building on the tremendous
work and good will built up by three previous years'
teams of VITA students. The IRS, OTDA, and Greater
Capital District United Way have praised their work and
held up Union's VITA program as a successful model for
emulation by other colleges across the state. The
Schenectady County Legislature honored the Union College
VITA site with a special resolution last spring.
We have already gotten many calls from "satisfied
customers" requesting appointments to return for this
year's taxes. A number of last year's students,
including our 2006 and 2007 graduating seniors, have
stayed in electronic contact with our VITA program,
offering advice and encouragement to this year's VITA
students.
ECONOMICS CLUB
The Economics Club Climbs out of a
Recession
The Economics Club is back in
business! Led by Co-Presidents Fariha Ramay and Allen Piekara,
the Eco Club has been making its presence known on campus,
especially during this term. The first event the club sponsored
during the winter term was a lunch discussion led by one of
Union College’s own faculty members: Professor Lewis Davis of
the Economics Department. The talk was hosted by Golub House. On
this day, the seminar room was overwhelmed with students and
faculty who were eager to listen about economic inequality and
its impact on development. Professor Davis’s presentation proved
to be very interesting, especially since it offered a different
perspective on economic inequality.
The club’s second event was
also sponsored by Golub House and encompassed another
discussion, followed by a reception. This time, the speaker was
a member outside of Union, Mr. Ezra Angrist. He talked about the
variety of career options that Economic Majors could do after
they graduate. Mr. Angrist is very experienced with practicing
economics, as he demonstrated in his discourse. His background
included being a consultant, an investment banker, and an
analyst for a business evaluation firm. During his discussion,
he touched upon all these employment opportunities and more.
After his seminar, there was a reception that gave listeners the
chance to individually speak with Mr. Angrist. Many students
used that time to network with Mr. Angrist. Overall, the event
was very successful.
Regarding future activities,
the club is looking to start a fantasy stock market contest that
last until May. Before the contest begins, the Eco Club is
looking to pair up with Student Investment Fund managers to
discuss the basics of investing with club members. Once the
contest is over, prizes will be given out for the best
portfolio. The Economics Club also plans on scheduling a
discussion hosted by another member outside Union College, Mr.
Jonathan Heimer. He worked as a lawyer in Tokyo and a commercial
consul in Shanghai and his talk will reflect his experiences.
The USAsia Forum is interested in co-sponsoring this event as
well. Another idea that club members expressed curiosity in was
having a speaker explain the economic history of Schenectady.
The purpose of this discussion will be designed to help students
understand the local economy’s background. The Economics Club
believes this idea is very significant given the college’s
unique relationship with Schenectady and the current
reconstruction of the city’s downtown area. Dates for these
events have not been determined yet, but Economics Majors should
keep their ears open for these great opportunities. If anybody
is interested in becoming a member of the Economics Club, please
contact Allen Piekara at
piekaraa@union.edu.
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Student Investment Fund
The Student Investment Fund has improved dramatically both in
value and attendance over the past six months. In 2007 the
fund beat the S&P 500 by 13.5% and has for the most part
significantly weathered the credit crunch. We have avoided
taking losses during the credit debacle by taking profits early
on and maintaining a large cash position. Throughout the
market downtrend the fund has invested with a value driven
approach and allocated most of the fund into large-cap equities.
The fund current cash position is over $100,000 and is looking
for more value oriented investments to take advantage of sectors
that have been beaten down over the past six months.
The Student Investment Fund has also experienced a dramatic
increase in attendance this term from both experienced and
inexperienced market participants alike. This tumultuous
market that we have experienced over the past six months has
provided us with an invaluable real life learning environment.
At each meeting we generally discuss current events in the
market and trading strategies that could prove to be pertinent
to our portfolio. We look forward to both growing
membership and profits in the future and invite anybody that is
interested in the market to take part in the fund.
Email: Steve Votto (vottos@union.edu),
Robert Paul (paulr@union.edu)
or Manny Ulloa (ulloam@union.edu)
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Fellowship Opportunity
AEA
Minority Fellowship for Raising Juniors and Seniors
American Economic Association (AEA)
offers full fellowships (tuition, books, travel and
stipend) to minority students potentially interested in
graduate work in economics. The fellowship funds an
eight-week summer program in economics at UC Santa
Barbara. It is a great opportunity. Check out this
website to apply
http://econ.ucsb.edu/aeastp/.
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